Deckers Outdoor Valuation

DECK Stock  USD 119.34  19.44  19.46%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Deckers Outdoor shows a prevailing Real Value of $125.88 per share. The current price of the firm is $119.34. Our model computes the value of Deckers Outdoor from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 12.82 B, operating margin of 0.23 %, and Profit Margin of 0.19 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Deckers Outdoor's valuation include:
Price Book
6.6655
Enterprise Value
12.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
12.0547
Price Sales
3.3757
Forward PE
17.301
Undervalued
Today
119.34
Please note that Deckers Outdoor's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Deckers Outdoor is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Deckers Outdoor's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Deckers Outdoor's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 119.34, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  119.34 Real  125.88 Target  123.07 Hype  118.02 Naive  119.73
The intrinsic value of Deckers Outdoor's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Deckers Outdoor's stock price.
107.41
Downside
125.88
Real Value
129.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Deckers Outdoor helps investors to forecast how Deckers stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Deckers Outdoor more accurately as focusing exclusively on Deckers Outdoor's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.701.721.75
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.75118.02121.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
116.45119.73123.00
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
111.99123.07136.60
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Deckers Outdoor's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Deckers Outdoor's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Deckers Outdoor's closest peers.

Deckers Outdoor Cash

2.28 Billion

Deckers Revenue by Product

Deckers Outdoor Total Value Analysis

Deckers Outdoor is currently forecasted to have valuation of 12.82 B with market capitalization of 17.7 B, debt of 276.98 M, and cash on hands of 419.26 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Deckers Outdoor fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
12.82 B
17.7 B
276.98 M
419.26 M

Deckers Outdoor Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. Deckers Outdoor recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.04. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 6:1 split on the 17th of September 2024. Based on the analysis of Deckers Outdoor's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Deckers Outdoor may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Deckers Outdoor Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Deckers Outdoor has an asset utilization ratio of 137.22 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.37 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Deckers Outdoor is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Deckers Outdoor Profitability Analysis

Considering Deckers Outdoor's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Deckers Outdoor may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Deckers Outdoor's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1993-03-31
Previous Quarter
268.2 M
Current Value
481.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
89.7 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 3.5 B this year, although the value of Pretax Profit Margin will most likely fall to 0.11.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.380.4469
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.07270.0911
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.0960.1207
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.130.1744
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For Deckers Outdoor profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Deckers Outdoor to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Deckers Outdoor utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Deckers Outdoor's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Deckers Outdoor over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Deckers Outdoor Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Deckers Outdoor is estimated to be 1.722 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.7 to a high of 1.75. Deckers Outdoor's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 7.04. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Deckers Outdoor is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Deckers Outdoor is projected to generate 1.722 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Deckers Outdoor earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Deckers Outdoor EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Deckers Outdoor's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Deckers Outdoor, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Deckers Outdoor Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Deckers Outdoor's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Deckers Outdoor is estimated to be 1.722 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.7 to a high of 1.75. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Deckers Outdoor is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
3.33
1.70
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.722
1.75
Highest

Deckers Outdoor Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Deckers Outdoor's value are higher than the current market price of the Deckers Outdoor stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Deckers Outdoor is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Deckers Outdoor's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2576.83%
3.33
1.722
7.04

Deckers Outdoor Ownership Allocation

Deckers Outdoor holds a total of 145.74 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Deckers Outdoor outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Deckers Outdoor to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Deckers Outdoor. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Deckers Outdoor as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost eighty-seven thousand four hundred fourty-seven invesors are currently shorting Deckers Outdoor expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Deckers Outdoor Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.99 B. Net Income was 966.09 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.02 B.

About Deckers Outdoor Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Deckers Outdoor. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Deckers Outdoor based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Deckers Outdoor's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Deckers Outdoor's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Deckers Outdoor. We calculate exposure to Deckers Outdoor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Deckers Outdoor's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.3 B3.5 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.13  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.45  0.38 

Deckers Outdoor Quarterly Retained Earnings

2.25 Billion

Deckers Outdoor Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Deckers Outdoor does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.144
Forward Price Earnings17.301

Deckers Outdoor Current Valuation Indicators

Deckers Outdoor's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Deckers Outdoor's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Deckers Outdoor, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Deckers Outdoor's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Deckers Outdoor's worth.
When determining whether Deckers Outdoor is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Deckers Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Deckers Outdoor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
For more information on how to buy Deckers Stock please use our How to buy in Deckers Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deckers Outdoor. Projected growth potential of Deckers fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Deckers Outdoor assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.144
Earnings Share
7.04
Revenue Per Share
34.986
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.091
Return On Assets
0.2153
Understanding Deckers Outdoor requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Deckers's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Deckers Outdoor's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Deckers Outdoor's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Deckers Outdoor's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Deckers Outdoor should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.